In the live broadcast on May 24, Miles Guo explained the effects of President Biden’s confirmation of the U.S.’s commitment to Taiwan.
Miles Guo noted that President Biden’s commitment to protecting Taiwan with a short and powerful “YES” was based on NATO’s initial disbelief in Ukraine, which led to the ravages of Russian Vladimir Putin. Therefore, his confirmation during the visit to Japan highlighted the importance of the relationship between the U.S. and its allies in Asia, and not repeating NATO’s mistake in Ukraine.
On the other hand, former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe first declared on December 1, 2021, that “if something happens to Taiwan, something happens to Japan.” Since then, a consensus has been reached between the U.S. and Japan through private negotiations that Japan will directly send military intervention whenever the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) violates Taiwan by force, followed by timely support from the U.S. when needed. With this consensus between the U.S. and Japan, President Biden directly responded to the intention to protect Taiwan by force. This form is to join the US, Japan, and South Korea, into a military alliance.
Last and foremost, the CCP who witnessed Russia’s fiasco in Ukraine, changed its tactics against Taiwan not long after this. Right now it is attempting to reach a tacit agreement with the U.S. and Japan to maintain the status quo in Taiwan for the long term. The reason for this is that the CCP did not expect the U.S. and Japan to adjust their strategies so quickly, completely abandoning their vague tactics and explicitly proposing cooperation between the two countries to defend Taiwan.
So the original plan of the CCP to destroy Taiwan in an instant with blitzkrieg is likely to change and may be changed into a strategy of not hitting Taiwan. On one hand, the encirclement of Taiwan, causes chaos within Taiwan, and it allowed the Taiwanese traitors to divide Taiwan. On the other hand, to give time for bargaining with the U.S. and Japan.