War Game Suggests: If Communist China Invades Taiwan, The Conflict May Be Drawn-out, The CCP May Use Nuclear Weapons

U.S. media reported on May 13th that the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a Washington-based think tank, lawmakers, former officials of the Department of Defense, and experts on China jointly organized a mock war game exercise assuming if the Chinese Communist Party would attack Taiwan by force in 2027.

The war game adjudication team tracks progress with a map of the Taiwan strait and a mock-up of Chinese and Taiwanese forces, on “Meet the Press Reports” in Washington on April 25. (Photo Credit: William B. Plowman / NBC, Photo Source: nbcnews.com

The scenarios show that if the People’s Liberation Army attacks Taiwan, to achieve swift decapitation of Taiwan’s government, the CCP casts a wide net of destruction, and even preemptively attack the US military bases in Japan and Guam. The U.S. responds by bombing Chinese ports.

Participants in the war game conclude that in the first week of the conflict, neither Beijing nor Washington is likely to gain the upper hand, which means that this would eventually evolve into a protracted war. In the process, with the CCP and the United States crossing the “red lines”, the conflict may escalate quickly, and finally lead to the CCP using nuclear weapons at any cost.

The conclusion of the war game exercise is that once the PLA invades Taiwan, the Indo-Pacific region will be plunged into a broad and drawn-out war, and not only the United States, but also Australia and Japan should be prepared in advance and enhance capacities to quickly respond with the PLA’s attack on Taiwan.